[Meta thread] Iron's PokeRole Adventure: The Skull Ruins

[Dragonstrike]

Okay, so...

...here's my original post on some of the odds of Tri Attack and procing chance dice effects.

Now, what do I wish to add?

Well, first of all...

- I want to clarify that all of the following calculations are for at least one effect of the 3 procing.  It's the easiest math to do (I don't quite follow the correct reasoning for the math, but the end result is the same since the dice all have independent results).  All of this math also applies to Delta Porygon's Tank Attack, obviously.

Previously, if you don't want to read the whole thing, I calculated base Tri Attack (6 chance dice total between 3 effects) as having a 67% chance of inflicting something.  Serene Grace boosted Tri Attack (12 chance dice) has an 89% chance of inflicting something.  Approximately.

But then I thought of something else...move and ability effects stack, right?

So let's throw in the buff from Water Pledge too.

Now you have 6 chance dice per effect for a total of 18 (each individual effect has a 67% chance of procing by itself now...yeesh...).  And the odds of THAT procing something...

...

96%

And just for kicks, if it were applied to Poison Fang along with Serene Grace to give it 9 D6...80%.

So, to summarize again:

1: 17%
2: 31%
3: 42%
4: 51% (Base Elemental Fangs)
5: 60%
6: 67% (Base Tri Attack)
7: 72%
8: 77%
9: 80%
10 and 11: No move in pokerole's base rules can have this amount of chance dice
12: 86% (Serene Grace Tri Attack & Serene Grace, Water Pledge Elemental Fangs)
13-17: Same deal as 10 and 11
18: 96% (Serene Grace, Water Pledge Tri Attack)

Exponential curves are fun.  Here's a graph of 1-(5/6)^x if you want a visual, btw:

Spoiler